Emmanuel Macron, an independent pro-European centrist, will become France’s next president, after voters rejected Marine Le Pen in the May 7 run-off.
En Marche! · Polling at 62%
Socially liberal centrist, pro-business
Marine Le Pen
National Front · Polling at 38%
Far-right leader with populist economic agenda
The Republicans · Polling at 0%
Centre-right conservative, pro deregulation
Rebellious France · Polling at 0%
Far-left anti-austerity firebrand
Socialist Party · Polling at 0%
Left wing radical advocating a 32h-week
How did the run-off play out?
Second round voting intention (%)
How did the first round play out?
After a series of set-backs for Francois Fillon and the unexpected rise of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the first round saw Macron and Le Pen qualify to the run-off. Unlike polls’ high-profile failures in several other countries’ recent elections, the French polls proved highly accurate in the first round.
Methodology: The FT poll of polls is calculated by taking the last seven poll results from unique pollsters for a given candidate and calculating an adjusted average, wherein the more recent polls are given a higher weight. Values may not add up to 100% due to rounding error and the way adjusted averages are calculated.
Illustrations by Bijou Karmen
Correction: A previous version of the table above incorrectly transposed the first-round voting intention values for Macron and Le Pen recorded by the the Opinion Way poll conducted 1-6 April